We have seen a lot of national headlines this summer about a slowing real estate market. Locally, we are seeing some signs of that slow down as well, but determining if the market has truly slowed is much more nuanced. Are you judging the market based on total number of homes sold or on the median sale price? Let’s take a look at both of them:

Based on statistics from REIN, our local MLS, the total number of homes sold peaked in 2021 with 38,276 homes. Over the last two years, about 25,000 homes sold each year. Through July of this year, 14,658 homes have sold, so we are roughly in line with the last two years. 

Again using REIN statistics, if you view the market through the median sale price, our local market is on the rise. The median sale price for the month of July alone was $368,250 and the current year median is $359,000. In 2021, when the total number of homes sold peaked, the median sale price was $289,900. 

Back to the question in our title: Is it a good time to buy or sell? Based on the statistics from our local market for both homes sold and median sale price, we can make a reasonable argument that the answer can be yes to both. To be clear, the current market is not the screaming, multiple offers seller’s market it was a couple of years ago, nor is it a market where the buyers have all of the power like we experienced in 2009-2013. In our evaluation, neither buyers nor sellers have outmatched power in negotiations just by virtue of being on one side of the table or the other. 

We are approaching a more balanced market. Homes are still selling, and selling for more than they were just a couple of years ago. Because there are more homes on the market, buyers are able to have some negotiation leverage and the majority of home sales do not have multiple offers (as was famously the case in the early 2020s). The biggest drawback for buyers is that interest rates are still high when compared with recent years, but they have been falling over the summer. 

After this analysis, it is also important to note that August is normally one of the slower times of year in the real estate market. We will be following the market closely this fall, especially to see how any potential significant shift in interest rates could change local demand. 

If you are thinking about buying, selling, investing in real estate, or need help with property management, give us a call (757-726-7653 for Lee, 757-434-9084 for Harry) or reply back to this email. We love real estate and are always happy to talk!  

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